Specialized roundtable on the application of complexity theory to futures studies was held on Saturday, August, 17, 2019 at NRISP with the efforts of NRISP Futures Studies Research Group.
At the beginning of the meeting, while welcoming the audiences, Dr. Amir Houshang Heidari, Director of Futures Studies Research Group at NRISP gave some explanations about the importance of complexity in futures studies. Then Dr.Bashiri, faculty member of Hamedan University of Technology and visiting fellow at NRISP Futures Studies Group gave some explanations about futures studies and said; futures studies cover a wide range of fields, in the classic model of planning for the future, recognizing the status quo, recognizing the desirable status and the method of realization are some of the issues which should be considered. Therefore, many projects fail because they try to solve nonlinear problems with linear processes.
Then, while referring to the features of complexity systems, he said; diversity, non-independence and uncertainty are key indicators of complex systems.
Dr. Bashiri added: a reductionist and holistic approach is to look beyond the observed facts and focus enough on the future and present of our perceptions of complex systems. "The science of complexity is a gateway to new paths to uncover important insights to aid decision making," he said.
Emphasizing at the end that planners should do monitoring continuously, he said; effective strategic thinking requires that the phenomena we face are unpredictable and we should prepare to accept any event and uncertainty.
At the end of the meeting, some of the audiences raised questions which were answered Dr. Heidari and Dr.Bashiri.
A series of specialized futures studies roundtables are held monthly at NRISP.